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FCNFTI Consulting, Inc.Sell5.8·$181.24
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

FTI Consulting has demonstrated consistent earnings outperformance in three of the last four quarters, but a confirmed price downtrend, a death cross technical breakdown, and a near-exhausted take-profit target combine to make the current reward-to-risk geometry unattractive for new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Track Record↑Improving
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend↑Improving
  • Exhausted Reward Risk Geometry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

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FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Consulting Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $181.24 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based... Read more

$181.24-27.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 9 Consulting Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.79%
Stop $169.12Analyst target $131.32(reached)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst consensus$154.50-14.8%2 analysts
$181.24price
$154.50mean
$151

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $181.24 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About FTI Consulting, Inc.

About FTI Consulting, Inc.

Corporate Finance—the largest of FTI Consulting's five segments—accounted for 41% of consolidated 2025 revenues, followed by Forensic and Litigation Consulting at 20%, Economic Consulting at 19%, Technology at 10%, and Strategic Communications at 10%. U.S.-based professionals generated 63% of total revenues in 2025, with the remaining 37% from international locations across 26 countries. The firm employed 6,421 billable professionals at December 31, 2025, organized across 104 offices worldwide.

FTI Consulting charges fees primarily on hourly or time-and-materials terms, with fixed-fee and success-fee arrangements available for complex mandates. The Corporate Finance segment earns advisory fees tied to restructuring, transactions, and enterprise transformation—demand that tends to rise in periods of credit stress or elevated M&A activity. The Forensic and Litigation Consulting segment serves boards, law firms, and regulated industries including healthcare and financial services in disputes and investigations. Economic Consulting, which includes subsidiary Compass Lexecon LLC, provides antitrust and competition analysis, financial economics, and international arbitration support. The Technology segment earns fees on e-discovery, information governance, AI-related legal services, and blockchain and digital asset matters; the 10-K notes this segment faces significant competition from consulting and software providers specializing in e-discovery, as well as downward pricing pressure. Strategic Communications handles financial and crisis communications including restructuring and public affairs. The 10-K states that results depend on the types, complexity, size, and timing of engagements, with no single client representing a disclosed material revenue share.

Show full overview

FTI Consulting's revenue mix carries built-in cyclical offsets: the 10-K states that the restructuring practice tends to experience highest demand during periods when market and industry conditions are less favorable for many businesses, while M&A-related services in Technology and fee-contingent mandates in Economic Consulting may weaken in those same periods. The Corporate Finance segment at 41% of revenues is the company's single largest revenue pool; if M&A activity contracts without a corresponding surge in restructuring, the offset is asymmetric. The company acknowledges this risk explicitly—stating that the positive effects of certain events or factors on certain segments and practices may not be sufficient to overcome the negative effects of those same events or factors on other parts of the business.

See also: Industrials · Consulting Services

From FTI Consulting, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)16.7
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE15.6%
Rev Growth5.3%
Beta-0.06
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
3.0
52w Position
9.1
Extreme gap up (7.5%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
91 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $134.88Resistance $182.09

Price Targets

A.Upside-27.5%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-27.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $181.24 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Prior stop was $169.12. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCN stock price target?

Analyst target $131.32 reached (−27.5% from $181.24); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $169.12. Stop-loss: $169.12.

What are the risks of investing in FCN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is FCN overvalued or undervalued?

FTI Consulting, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FCN?

8 analysts cover FCN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $155.

What does FTI Consulting, Inc. do?FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic...

FTI Consulting provides expert advisory services across five segments—Corporate Finance (41% of 2025 revenue), Forensic and Litigation Consulting (20%), Economic Consulting (19%), Technology (10%), and Strategic Communications (10%)—with 63% of revenues from U.S.-based professionals and 6,421 billable headcount at year-end 2025. Clients include Fortune 500 corporations, major law firms, and governments engaged on crisis, transformation, restructuring, and dispute matters.

Related stocks: SBC (SBC Medical Group Holdings Inco) · HURN (Huron Consulting Group Inc.) · EFX (Equifax, Inc.) · ICFI (ICF International, Inc.) · VRSK (Verisk Analytics, Inc.)
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