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First BanCorp. New (FBP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

First BanCorp. is a Puerto Rico-chartered financial holding company with 19.1 billion in total assets as of December 31, 2025, operating FirstBank through 57 Puerto Rico branches, 8 USVI and BVI branches, and 8 Florida branches. Revenue derives from commercial and consumer... Read more

$24.29-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#71 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $23.05Target $24.02(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$25.67+5.7%6 analysts
$24.02our TP
$24.29price
$25.67mean
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(8), earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.8
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn38.2%
ROE19.0%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.83
Dividend3.13%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$20-17.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPuerto Rico
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our business activities and credit exposure is concentrated in Puerto Rico, which has faced prolonged economic and fiscal challenges.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Orlando Berges announced retirement as EVP and CFO effective June 30, 2026 (serving since 2009). Said Ortiz appointed new CFO effective July 1, 2026; currently SVP and Chief Accounting Officer. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(8)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.60Resistance $24.51

Price Targets

$23
$24
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! Momentum score 4.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FBP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.29, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $24.02 (-1.1%), stop $23.05 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FBP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.02 (-1.1% upside). Target $24.02 (-1.1%), stop $23.05 (−5.4%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $23.05.

What are the risks of investing in FBP?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away).

Is FBP overvalued or undervalued?

First BanCorp. New trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FBP?

11 analysts cover FBP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.

What does First BanCorp. New do?First BanCorp. is a Puerto Rico-chartered financial holding company with 19.1 billion in total assets as of December...

First BanCorp. is a Puerto Rico-chartered financial holding company with 19.1 billion in total assets as of December 31, 2025, operating FirstBank through 57 Puerto Rico branches, 8 USVI and BVI branches, and 8 Florida branches. Revenue derives from commercial and consumer banking, mortgage banking, auto financing, and insurance agency services primarily concentrated in Puerto Rico.

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