Skip to main content
ETDEthan Allen Interiors Inc.Sell5.1·$21.22-0.84%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ethan Allen combines a cheap forward multiple and a consistent earnings-beat streak with an imminent catalyst, but a confirmed technical downtrend, a death-cross hard block, and elevated short interest keep the setup on the defensive.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With CatalystStable
  • Cheap Forward MultipleStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Momentum FailureStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

Ethan Allen Interiors is a vertically integrated home furnishings company that designs, manufactures, and retails premium furniture through 142 company-operated and 45 independently operated design centers in the U.S. and abroad, manufacturing about 75% of its furniture in North... Read more

$21.22+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#10 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.32%
IncomeYield7.19%(5y avg 5.08%)Payout98.73%at-risk
Stop $20.17Target $22.68(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$24.00+13.1%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.

About Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.

Ethan Allen Interiors operates 142 company-run design centers across the U.S. and Canada plus 45 independently licensed locations in the U.S., Asia, the Middle East, and Europe, manufacturing roughly 75% of its furniture in seven North American plants while importing the remaining 25% of finished goods, primarily from Asia. Wholesale backlog stood at $48.9 million at fiscal year-end June 30, 2025, down 8.7% year over year.

Ethan Allen sells through a two-segment model: wholesale, which manufactures and ships product to both its own retail network and 45 independently operated design centers, and retail, its 142 company-run stores. No single client accounted for more than 10% of fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales; the ten largest wholesale clients, including nine independent retailers and the U.S. General Services Administration, together made up 11%, down from 13% a year earlier, with the GSA itself representing 6%. Furniture production draws on lumber, veneers, fabric, foam, and steel sourced both domestically and abroad, with no long-term supply contracts and no single-supplier dependence, while imported finished goods, sourced mainly from Asia, account for about 25% of consolidated sales. Three national distribution centers in North Carolina and Virginia handle cross-docking to the company's home-delivery network.

Show full overview

Ethan Allen's tariff exposure is concrete and quantified rather than speculative: the company manufactures upholstery in Mexico and case goods in Honduras while importing roughly 25% of finished goods, primarily from Asia, so the 2025 U.S. tariff increases and other countries' reciprocal tariffs raise input costs directly on both its Mexican/Honduran production and its Asian import mix. Management acknowledges it may not be able to fully pass these costs through to retail prices without denting sales volume, tying the tariff risk directly to the 25% import share and the vertically integrated manufacturing footprint rather than to a single named supplier.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

From Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$541M
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn6.8%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth-4.8%
Beta1.00
Dividend7.19%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$18-17.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierimported finished goods25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Imported finished goods represent approximately 25% of our consolidated sales.'
  • LOWCustomerU.S. government (GSA)6.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Total net sales to the U.S. government individually represented 6% of our consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Macd
1.8
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.79Resistance $23.14

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $21.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.17. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ETD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.68 (+6.9% upside). Prior stop was $20.17. Stop-loss: $20.17.

What are the risks of investing in ETD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is ETD overvalued or undervalued?

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETD?

9 analysts cover ETD with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. do?Ethan Allen Interiors is a vertically integrated home furnishings company that designs, manufactures, and retails...

Ethan Allen Interiors is a vertically integrated home furnishings company that designs, manufactures, and retails premium furniture through 142 company-operated and 45 independently operated design centers in the U.S. and abroad, manufacturing about 75% of its furniture in North American plants and importing the remaining 25%. The company operates wholesale and retail segments, with sales split among independent retailers and the U.S. government (GSA schedule contracts, 6% of fiscal 2025 net sales), and reported wholesale backlog of $48.9 million at fiscal year-end June 30, 2025.

Related stocks: TILE (Interface, Inc.) · HNI (HNI Corporation) · ALH (Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.) · LZB (La-Z-Boy Incorporated) · MLKN (MillerKnoll, Inc.)
Home Stocks ETD

Latest news

No recent news