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ELVElevance Health, Inc.Sell4.8·$404.07+1.23%
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Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Healthcare Plans

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $404.07: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Elevance Health is one of the largest U.S. health insurers with approximately 45.2 million medical members, offering commercial, Medicare and Medicaid health plans primarily under Anthem Blue Cross/Blue Shield brands across 14+ states, plus pharmacy services through CarelonRx.... Read more

$404.07+3.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 11 Healthcare Plans
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.90%
IncomeYield1.70%(5y avg 1.36%)Payout29.03%sustainable
Stop $381.27Target $418.44(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$415.81+2.9%21 analysts
$418.44our TP
$404.07price
$415.81mean
$331
$498

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $404.07: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-7.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$87.7B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta0.68
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$650+60.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
1.2
Net Margin
1.3
Operating Margin
2.1
Roa
2.7
Roe
4.0
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.4
Fcf Quality
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $382.74Resistance $426.98

Price Targets

$381
$418
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $404.07: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $381.27. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $418.44 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $381.27. Stop-loss: $381.27.

What are the risks of investing in ELV?

Target reached (-7.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ELV overvalued or undervalued?

Elevance Health, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELV?

29 analysts cover ELV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $416.

What does Elevance Health, Inc. do?Elevance Health is one of the largest U.S. health insurers with approximately 45.2 million medical members, offering...

Elevance Health is one of the largest U.S. health insurers with approximately 45.2 million medical members, offering commercial, Medicare and Medicaid health plans primarily under Anthem Blue Cross/Blue Shield brands across 14+ states, plus pharmacy services through CarelonRx. Medicaid represents 45.8% of revenue and U.S. government agencies collectively account for approximately 32% of total consolidated revenues.

Related stocks: CI (The Cigna Group) · CVS (CVS Health Corporation) · CNC (Centene Corporation) · HUM (Humana Inc.) · UNH (UnitedHealth Group Incorporated)
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