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CIVBCivista Bancshares, Inc.Hold6.1·$28.18
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Civista Bancshares combines a perfect earnings beat streak and strong revenue growth with a stock that has already reached its analyst target, leaving the risk/reward balanced between continued outperformance and mean reversion.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Pe Vs Peers↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 6, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 6, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Civista Bancshares, Inc. (CIVB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor for banking systems; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Civista Bancshares is an Ohio-based financial holding company operating Civista Bank, a community bank serving Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky, along with a nationwide equipment leasing division. Interest and fees on loans made up 77% of total revenue in 2025, with the loan book... Read more

$28.18-3.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#82 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.55%(5y avg 2.96%)Payout26.02%sustainable
Stop $26.90Analyst target $27.26(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$31.33+11.2%6 analysts
$28.18price
$31.33mean
$33

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor for banking systems; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor for banking systems
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.1
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$584M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn30.8%
ROE11.0%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.65
Dividend2.55%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV68%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 28.9% and 50.0%, respectively, of our loan portfolio was comprised of residential and commercial real estate loans'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioresidential real estate loans29%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 28.9% and 50.0%, respectively, of our loan portfolio was comprised of residential and commercial real estate loans'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle vendor for banking systems
    10-K Item 1A: 'Civista also relies, in significant part, on a single vendor for the systems which allow Civista to provide banking services to Civista’s customers'
  • MEDIUMGeographicOhio, Indiana and Kentucky market area
    10-K Item 1A: 'within our market area, which includes North Central, West Central and South Western Ohio, South Eastern Indiana and Northern Kentucky'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
8.9
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.91Resistance $28.72

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.3%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CIVB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor for banking systems; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $27.26 reached (−3.3%), stop $26.90 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CIVB stock price target?

Analyst target $27.26 reached (−3.3% from $28.18); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $27.26 reached (−3.3%), stop $26.90 (−4.8%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $26.90.

What are the risks of investing in CIVB?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single vendor for banking systems; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is CIVB overvalued or undervalued?

Civista Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CIVB?

12 analysts cover CIVB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Civista Bancshares, Inc. do?Civista Bancshares is an Ohio-based financial holding company operating Civista Bank, a community bank serving Ohio,...

Civista Bancshares is an Ohio-based financial holding company operating Civista Bank, a community bank serving Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky, along with a nationwide equipment leasing division. Interest and fees on loans made up 77% of total revenue in 2025, with the loan book weighted toward commercial real estate (50%) and residential mortgages (29%), on $4.3 billion in consolidated assets.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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