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CHCOCity Holding CompanyHold5.3·$142.34
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

City Holding has compiled a strong recent earnings record and best-in-class margins, but the stock has largely closed the gap to analyst targets with only 1.1% remaining to the near-term price objective and an unfavorable risk/reward, and underlying growth remains soft — limiting the case for new capital at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings Execution↑Improving
  • Margin And Balance Sheet Strength↓Deteriorating
  • Priced Past Attractive Entry↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

City Holding Company (CHCO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $142.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue... Read more

$142.34-12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#186 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.81%(5y avg 2.65%)Payout37.20%sustainable
Stop $137.16Analyst target $124.06(reached)A.R:R -2.6:1
Analyst consensus$142.60+0.2%5 analysts
$142.34price
$142.60mean
$125
$148

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $142.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jan 20, 202782d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn40.7%
ROE16.6%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta0.48
Dividend2.81%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV31%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Earnings Growth
3.2
GatesA.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $136.72Resistance $146.30

Price Targets

A.Upside-12.8%
A.R:R-2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-20 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $142.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $124.06 reached (−12.8%), stop $137.16 (−3.8%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHCO stock price target?

Analyst target $124.06 reached (−12.8% from $142.34); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $124.06 reached (−12.8%), stop $137.16 (−3.8%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Stop-loss: $137.16.

What are the risks of investing in CHCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Weak growth.

Is CHCO overvalued or undervalued?

City Holding Company trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHCO?

10 analysts cover CHCO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $143.

What does City Holding Company do?City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia,...

City Holding Company operates City National Bank of West Virginia, a 96-branch community bank across West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and southeastern Ohio offering commercial, consumer, mortgage, and wealth management services. Net interest income is the primary revenue source; the loan portfolio is split 47% residential mortgage and home equity, 52% combined commercial and industrial and commercial real estate, across 934 full-time equivalent employees.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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