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BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway Inc.Sell6.1·$811947.00
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business demonstrates strong price momentum and an attractive growth-adjusted valuation, but the stock has risen above the near-term resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward, and two consecutive earnings misses add near-term uncertainty — the setup favors holding rather than adding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Resistance Target→Stable
  • Strong Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $811947.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing).

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and... Read more

$811947.00-15.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#5 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.21%
Stop $792691.72Analyst target $687311.06(reached)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst consensus$808601.25-0.4%4 analysts
$811947.00price
$808601.25mean
$735000
$942405

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $811947.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Sat, Nov 7, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong growth profile
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)25.0
Mkt Cap$1.16T
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn22.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIAG
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of the NICO Group's annual reinsurance premium currently derives from a 20% quota-share agreement with Insurance Australia Group Limited ("IAG")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Item 5.02(c) officer appointment filed May 7, 2026 (event date May 2). Body states appointment was 'as previously announced'; remainder truncated. Per 10-K, Gregory E. Abel succeeded Warren E. Buffett as CEO effective January 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $744500.21Resistance $824765.16

Price Targets

A.Upside-15.4%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.4% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-07 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRK-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $811947.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $792691.72. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRK-A stock price target?

Analyst target $687311.06 reached (−15.4% from $811947.00); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $792691.72. Stop-loss: $792691.72.

What are the risks of investing in BRK-A?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away).

Is BRK-A overvalued or undervalued?

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRK-A?

10 analysts cover BRK-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $808601.

What does Berkshire Hathaway Inc. do?Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance...

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and retailing subsidiaries. The company employed approximately 387,800 people worldwide at year-end 2025, with insurance float of approximately $176 billion providing the core investment capital base.

Related stocks: BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · GS (Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The)) · MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · BLK (BlackRock, Inc.)
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