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AGNCNAGNC Investment Corp. - DepositSell5.1·$25.23
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

This preferred deposit instrument carries best-in-class margin characteristics and a near-term bullish technical setup, but it trades above its resistance-derived price target with negative upside of approximately 1.9%, making the current entry unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins→Stable
  • Golden Cross Technical Setup→Stable
  • Price Above Resistance Target→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 23, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit (AGNCN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.23: Near 52-week high (2.9% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

AGNC Investment Corp. invests primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae. The company funds investments through short-term repurchase agreements, targeting... Read more

$25.23+15.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#15 of 22 REIT - Mortgage
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield9.18%(5y avg 8.89%)Payout—
Stop $24.89Default target $29.01A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.23: Near 52-week high (2.9% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap—
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn43.6%
ROE0.9%
Rev Growth—
Beta1.34
Dividend9.18%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
4.4
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.95Resistance $25.75

Price Targets

$25
$29
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus3.5/5
Avg Target—

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AGNCN.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGNCN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $25.23: Near 52-week high (2.9% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.89. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the AGNCN stock price target?

Default target: $29.01 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $24.89. Stop-loss: $24.89.

What are the risks of investing in AGNCN?

Near 52-week high (2.9% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is AGNCN overvalued or undervalued?

AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGNCN?

20 analysts cover AGNCN with a consensus score of 3.5/5.

What does AGNC Investment Corp. - Deposit do?AGNC Investment Corp. invests primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities on a leveraged basis, with...

AGNC Investment Corp. invests primarily in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities on a leveraged basis, with principal and interest guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae. The company funds investments through short-term repurchase agreements, targeting leverage of six to ten times tangible stockholders' equity to generate interest income net of borrowing and hedging costs.

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