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AGBKAGI IncSell5.2·$7.17+4.52%
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AGI Inc (AGBK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.17: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%.

AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services in Brazil. The company offers social security benefits; severance fund benefits; public or private sector payrolls through secured lending solutions; and complementary banking, credit, and insurance products. It... Read more

$7.17+72.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#128 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
Stop $6.67Target $12.37(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.1:1
Analyst target$14.22+98.3%10 analysts
$12.37our TP
$7.17price
$14.22mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.17: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — AGI Inc

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.8
P/E (Fwd)3.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-22.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -22.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -22%

Volatile — 5.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
1.6
Short Interest
3.7
Days To Cover
5.7

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.7
Support Resistance
2.1
Bollinger
3.1
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 6.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $6.32Resistance $7.39

Price Targets

$7
$12
A.Upside+72.5%
A.R:R6.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AGBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.17: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 6.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $6.67. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AGBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.37 (+72.5% upside). Prior stop was $6.67. Stop-loss: $6.67.

What are the risks of investing in AGBK?

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is AGBK overvalued or undervalued?

AGI Inc trades at a P/E of 6.8 (forward 3.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AGBK?

7 analysts cover AGBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does AGI Inc do?AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services in Brazil. The company offers social security...

AGI Inc provides technology-powered specialized financial services in Brazil. The company offers social security benefits; severance fund benefits; public or private sector payrolls through secured lending solutions; and complementary banking, credit, and insurance products. It provides its services through cloud-based software, AI-driven automation, and mobile applications. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Campinas, Brazil.

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