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ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for neurological and rare disease in North America. The company offers NUPLAZID (pimavanserin), a selective serotonin inverse agonist/antagonist for the... Read more

$22.01+23.0% upside
Score 6.3/10Target $27.07Reward/Risk 1.9:1

TrendMatrix rates ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) as Hold with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $22.01 with +23.0% upside to the $27.07 price target. Overall score: 6.3/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 1.9:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity). Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.9Qual6.1Grw7.4Mom6.0Sent8.2Ins3.7Peer6.0Tech5.4Risk4.26.3OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Earnings estimates trending UP
+ Strong growth profile
- Earnings expected to decline ~61% (cyclical peak)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5
- Below 200-day MA

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)23.2
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA24.1
Profit Mgn36.5%
ROE39.9%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.81
DividendNone
Analysts27
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACAD stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) as Hold with moderate confidence. Score 6.3/10.

What is the ACAD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.07 (+23.0% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $19.29.

What are the risks of investing in ACAD?

Earnings expected to decline ~61% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 4.3): -1.5; Below 200-day MA.

Is ACAD overvalued or undervalued?

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 23.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACAD?

27 analysts cover ACAD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $32.

What does ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. do?ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines...

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for neurological and rare disease in North America. The company offers NUPLAZID (pimavanserin), a selective serotonin inverse agonist/antagonist for the treatment of hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson's disease psychosis; and DAYBUE, a novel synthetic analog of the amino-terminal tripeptide of insulin-like growth factor 1 to treat the symptoms of Rett syndrome by reducing neuroinflammation and supporting synaptic function. It also develops remlifanserin, which is in phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of alzheimer's disease psychosis and lewy body dementia psychosis; ACP-211, which is in phase 2 clinical trial to treat major depressive disorder; ACP-711, which is in phase I clinical trial for the treatment of essential tremor; and ACP-271, a GPR88 agonist for the treatment of tardive dyskinesia and huntington's disease and is in phase I trial. In addition, the company develops ACP-2591, a cGP analogue which is in Phase 1 clinical trial to treat rett syndrome and fragile X syndrome; and STOKE Antisense Oligonucleotide Program, which is in discovery program for SYNGAP1 syndrome. It has a license agreement with Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited to trofinetide for Rett syndrome and other indications; and a license and collaboration agreement with Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. to discover, develop, and commercialize novel RNA-based medicines for the potential treatment of severe and rare genetic neurodevelopmental diseases of the CNS. The company was formerly known as Receptor Technologies, Inc. and changed its name ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. in 1997. ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

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47 NEUTRAL
20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $19.89Res $25.36

Price Targets

$19
$27
Upside+23.0%
Reward/Risk1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Cyclical trap - fwd PE 23x vs trail 9x (2.5x)
RECOVERYSuitability: Aggressive
Momentum 6.0>=5.0
Risk/Reward 2.4>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)
Executive change: officer departure/appointment