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VRSNVeriSign, Inc.Sell5.1·$292.38-0.86%
VRSN · Why this verdict

Why VeriSign (VRSN) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

2.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E4.0
P/S0.0
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E4.5
PEG3.4
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 27.6x
  • PEG: 3.56
  • Expensive valuation

Quality

8.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROA10.0
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio1.8
FCF quality6.8
Moat6.4
Rule of 408.8
Piotroski F8.9
  • Strong margins: 50%
  • Rule of 40: 55 (pass)
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
  • High-quality business

Growth

4.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.1
EPS growth4.3

Momentum

2.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI7.6
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume0.0
  • Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunity
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.3
Price target5.7
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (4.0) — signal dampened

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Insider selling (low materiality) — $2,953,913 (0.011% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.0
quality rank9.9
growth rank2.0
  • Best-in-class margins

Technical

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.6
support resistance6.5
52w position8.7
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.9
days to cover8.4
volatility5.2
put call8.2
implied vol5.9
max pain risk3.0
beta8.9
  • Above max pain $150
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history5.6
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.0
dividend safety6.0
  • Dividend: 110.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.9<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-1.9=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-1.88
Upside
-10.9%
Downside
5.8%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (8.1) with weak momentum (2.9)

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.8 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Quality at 8.1) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.9<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-1.9=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -1.88 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.1, Technical at 6.9, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.9; the weakest are Value at 2.7, Momentum at 2.9, and Growth at 4.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.88 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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