Value
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.8 |
| P/S | 9.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.9 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.46
- ▸Attractively valued
TTAM · Why this verdict
Why Titan America (TTAM) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.2 |
| ROA | 6.1 |
| Gross margin | 1.4 |
| Op margin | 5.0 |
| Net margin | 5.5 |
| Current ratio | 10.0 |
| FCF quality | 4.7 |
| Moat | 5.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 60% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
5.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.9 |
| EPS growth | 7.3 |
Momentum
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.1 |
| OBV | 5.1 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 1.3 |
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 6.9 |
| erm sentiment | 4.2 |
Insider
5.2/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.5 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Insider buying (low materiality) — $298,600 (0.010% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.5 |
| quality rank | 5.8 |
| growth rank | 1.7 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.3 |
| support resistance | 6.9 |
| 52w position | 6.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.9 |
| days to cover | 0.0 |
| volatility | 4.0 |
| implied vol | 3.0 |
| debt equity | 8.3 |
- ▸High IV: 62%
Catalyst
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 1.1 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Dividend: 102.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.18
Upside
-1.3%
Downside
6.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.9B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.4 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.7) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.8<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.18 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.7, Technical at 6.5, and Quality at 5.9; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.8, Momentum at 3.8, and Catalyst at 4.1. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.18 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.