Value
7.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.7 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 12.8x
- ▸PEG: 0.01
- ▸Attractively valued
TENB · Why this verdict
Why Tenable Holdings (TENB) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.8 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 1.7 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 3.4 |
| FCF quality | 9.0 |
| Moat | 5.1 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 25%, FCF yield 8.3%)
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
4.9/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.9 |
Momentum
5.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 9.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 4.1 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 5.7 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.3/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.5 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider buying (low materiality) — $258,480 (0.008% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.2 |
| quality rank | 1.5 |
| growth rank | 2.8 |
Technical
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 3.4 |
| support resistance | 3.1 |
| 52w position | 5.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.8 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 6.8 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 7.1 |
| debt equity | 3.6 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 17%
- ▸High IV: 84%
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.4>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.4=NEGATIVE
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.4>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-0.39
Upside
-5.8%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupMOMENTUM_CONT — Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.0 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.9) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-0.4=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.39 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.9, Catalyst at 7.5, and Sentiment at 6.2; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.6, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.0, and Technical at 4.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.39 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.