Value
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| PEG | 5.7 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸PEG: 1.33
SATS · Why this verdict
Why EchoStar (SATS) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score3.3/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
1.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.3 |
| Gross margin | 1.4 |
| Op margin | 3.6 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 1.2 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 2.5 |
| Piotroski F | 2.2 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenue
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Weak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9
- ▸Quality concerns
Growth
1.2/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.2 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -5%
Momentum
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 10.0 |
| vol acceleration | 1.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
- ▸Volume surge (4.9x avg) on selloff
Sentiment
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.8 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.8 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 21%
Insider
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 6.2 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $7,557,906 (0.023% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
0.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.9 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 0.3 |
Technical
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.6 |
| support resistance | 8.2 |
| 52w position | 5.5 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 3.7 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 4.1 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 7.2 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
| news risk | 6.0 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 36%
- ▸High IV: 94%
Catalyst
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Quality below minimum threshold.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:47d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.6<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.3<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.33
Upside
+4.9%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Technical at 6.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:3.6<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 6.8, Sentiment at 6.1, and Value at 5.0; the weakest are Peer rank at 0.6, Growth at 1.2, and Quality at 1.2. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.