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LYGLloyds Banking Group PlcSell5.5·$6.01+2.04%

Lloyds Banking Group (LYG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-4.9% vs estimateEPS $0.12 vs $0.13 estVerdict HoldBuy (Wait)

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.12
Estimate
$0.13
Surprise
-4.9%
Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
$5.73B
Score at report (before → after)
5.55.5/10

Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Lloyds Banking Group (LYG) missed the $0.13 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.12 — a clear 4.9% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.5/10) to Buy (Wait) at 5.5/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-14

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates LYG Sell at 5.5/10.

1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -4.9% surprise compares with a -7.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
  • Attractive valuation

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
  • Consecutive earnings misses (2)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$6.01
Price target
$6.12
Stop
$5.83
Upside to target
+1.8%

The stock trades at 14.0× trailing but 9.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

LYG at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Banks - Regional
Market cap
$86.80B
P/E (fwd)
9.4
P/E (ttm)
14.0
52-week range
$4.36$6.34
Off 52-week high
5.2%
RSI (14)
49
Volume vs avg
1.13×
Score today
5.5/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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