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KENKenon Holdings Ltd.Sell5.9·$65.89+1.14%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional reported revenue growth of 73% year-over-year and a strong financial health score coexist with an expensive valuation, two recent earnings misses, and negative price momentum — with the analyst target implying 33% upside but upside already deemed exhausted by near-term technicals, the setup favors caution.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Growth Expensive ValuationStable
  • Dividend Yield Trap WarningImproving
  • Oversold Momentum Unconfirmed RecoveryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kenon Holdings Ltd. (KEN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.89: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants,... Read more

$65.89+5.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 9 Utilities - Independent Power Producers
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield5.84%(5y avg 17.60%)Payout168.12%at-risk
Stop $61.77Target $69.20(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.89: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.8
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA36.5
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth93.4%
Beta
Dividend5.84%
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.5
Dividend Safety
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.7
Gross Margin
1.2
Roe
2.3
Operating Margin
3.8
Moat
4.9
Net Margin
5.0
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
9.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -179% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.50Resistance $70.61

Price Targets

$62
$69
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $65.89: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $61.77. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.20 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $61.77. Stop-loss: $61.77.

What are the risks of investing in KEN?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is KEN overvalued or undervalued?

Kenon Holdings Ltd. trades at a P/E of 28.8 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KEN?

5 analysts cover KEN with a consensus score of 4.2/5.

What does Kenon Holdings Ltd. do?Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation...

Kenon Holdings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an owner, developer, and operator of power generation facilities in Israel and the United States. It engages in the generation and supply of electricity, and energy; development, construction, operation of power plants, and energy generation facilities using natural gas and renewable energy; and management of solar and wind energy, and conventional natural gas-fired power plants. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Singapore. Kenon Holdings Ltd. is a subsidiary of Ansonia Holdings Singapore B.V.

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