Value
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.0 |
| P/S | 8.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 6.8 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.0x
- ▸PEG: 1.06
- ▸Attractively valued
JHG · Why this verdict
Why Janus Henderson Group (JHG) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.4 |
| ROA | 5.3 |
| Gross margin | 9.1 |
| Op margin | 6.6 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.1 |
| FCF quality | 6.7 |
| Moat | 6.9 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong margins: 25%
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
2.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.2 |
| EPS growth | 0.0 |
Momentum
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 3.7 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.1 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 6.6 |
| Price target | 5.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened
Insider
3.0/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 2.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Heavy insider selling — $641,310,526 (8.042% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.1 |
| quality rank | 6.4 |
| growth rank | 6.9 |
Technical
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.4 |
| support resistance | 3.8 |
| 52w position | 9.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.2 |
| days to cover | 9.7 |
| volatility | 10.0 |
| put call | 5.8 |
| implied vol | 0.3 |
| beta | 5.6 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸High IV: 78%
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 309.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.7>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:53d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.8=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-0.77
Upside
-11.5%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.34>1.3
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.1 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-0.8=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -0.77 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.2, Quality at 7.2, and Catalyst at 6.4; the weakest are Growth at 2.6, Insider at 3.0, and Peer rank at 5.1. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.77 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.