Value
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.3 |
| P/S | 9.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.5 |
| PEG | 1.2 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.4x
- ▸PEG: 7.12
IPAR · Why this verdict
Why Interparfums (IPAR) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.6 |
| ROA | 7.5 |
| Gross margin | 7.8 |
| Op margin | 8.6 |
| Net margin | 5.7 |
| Current ratio | 9.7 |
| FCF quality | 6.1 |
| Moat | 7.2 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
- ▸High-quality business
Growth
2.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.9 |
| EPS growth | 2.5 |
Momentum
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.9 |
| MACD | 2.0 |
| OBV | 4.9 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 3.3 |
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.6 |
| Price target | 7.7 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened
Insider
4.8/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $1,820,360 (0.062% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.3/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.6 |
| quality rank | 6.3 |
| growth rank | 3.3 |
Technical
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.6 |
| support resistance | 5.0 |
| 52w position | 3.2 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.1 |
| days to cover | 4.8 |
| volatility | 3.5 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 2.3 |
| max pain risk | 5.0 |
| beta | 6.3 |
| debt equity | 9.3 |
- ▸High IV: 66%
Catalyst
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.7 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 350.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:3.6<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.59
Upside
+4.2%
Downside
7.2%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND — High quality (7.7) with weak momentum (3.6)
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.9B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Quality at 7.7; weakest: Growth at 2.7. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 7.7, Sentiment at 7.3, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.9; the weakest are Growth at 2.7, Momentum at 3.6, and Technical at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.59 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.