Value
8.3/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 7.3 |
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 8.3 |
| PEG | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 14.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.67
- ▸Attractively valued
IDT · Why this verdict
Why IDT (IDT) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.4 |
| ROA | 7.4 |
| Gross margin | 3.5 |
| Op margin | 3.8 |
| Net margin | 3.2 |
| Current ratio | 6.8 |
| FCF quality | 3.5 |
| Moat | 7.1 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 25%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 44% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.6 |
| EPS growth | 6.2 |
Momentum
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.3 |
| Analyst rating | 5.9 |
| Price target | 8.9 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (1.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 35%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $1,435,715 (0.103% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.0 |
| quality rank | 6.2 |
| growth rank | 4.9 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.8 |
| support resistance | 4.2 |
| 52w position | 5.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.8 |
| days to cover | 7.6 |
| volatility | 3.9 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 3.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.1 |
| debt equity | 9.4 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 9.00
- ▸High IV: 62%
- ▸Above max pain $25
Catalyst
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 2.1 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 46.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.6>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:2.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:113d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.6>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
2.01
Upside
+14.9%
Downside
7.4%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupMOMENTUM_CONT — Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.4B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.9 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.01 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.3, Momentum at 6.6, and Sentiment at 6.6; the weakest are Insider at 3.4, Technical at 3.9, and Peer rank at 4.8. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.01 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.