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HASHasbro, Inc.Sell6.1·$83.48-0.83%
HAS · Why this verdict

Why Hasbro (HAS) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.9/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/S8.6
EV/EBITDA5.1
Fwd P/E8.6
PEG4.6
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 13.1x
  • PEG: 1.86

Quality

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA8.0
Gross margin8.7
Op margin10.0
Net margin0.0
Current ratio6.0
FCF quality5.8
Moat5.8
Piotroski F8.9
  • FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 11%, FCF yield 4.6%)
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Growth

7.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth5.7
EPS growth10.0

Momentum

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.0
MACD0.0
OBV10.0
MA position2.2
Volume0.0
  • Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

8.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment8.0
Analyst rating7.3
Price target9.0
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.60 (n=1)
  • Analyst upside: 36%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.6/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank1.7
quality rank1.3
growth rank6.7

Technical

7.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger7.9
support resistance9.4
52w position5.9

Risk (lower is worse)

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.2
days to cover6.8
volatility3.7
put call10.0
implied vol4.3
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity0.0
  • Above max pain $38

Catalyst

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
dividend safety3.5
news activity5.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • ASYMMETRY:3.2>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:3.0<4.5
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
3.16
Upside
+22.3%
Downside
7.1%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.1 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.0<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 3.16 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.0, Growth at 7.8, and Technical at 7.7; the weakest are Momentum at 3.0, Peer rank at 3.6, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.16 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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