Value
4.9/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.6 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.7 |
| PEG | 1.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 26.5x
- ▸PEG: 8.27
CHT · Why this verdict
Why Chunghwa Telecom Co. (CHT) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score4.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.3 |
| ROA | 3.8 |
| Gross margin | 3.3 |
| Op margin | 8.7 |
| Net margin | 8.1 |
| Current ratio | 5.9 |
| FCF quality | 7.5 |
| Moat | 5.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 16%
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.5/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.4 |
| EPS growth | 2.6 |
Momentum
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 7.5 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 8.0 |
| Volume | 4.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
Sentiment
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
4.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.5 |
| quality rank | 6.8 |
| growth rank | 6.2 |
- ▸Best-in-class margins
Technical
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.6 |
| support resistance | 1.7 |
| 52w position | 9.7 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.7 |
| days to cover | 0.5 |
| volatility | 8.3 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 2.8 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 0.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 20.00
- ▸High IV: 63%
- ▸Above max pain $30
Catalyst
4.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.0 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:5.3>=4.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:56d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-4.3=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- MOMENTUM:5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
-4.30
Upside
-21.5%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 50, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.4 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Quality at 6.1) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-4.3=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -4.30 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 6.1, Momentum at 5.3, and Insider at 5.0; the weakest are Growth at 3.5, Catalyst at 4.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -4.30 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.