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AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging S.A.Sell6.1·$4.50

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

IN LINE+4.3% vs estimateEPS $0.08 vs $0.08 estCurrent verdict Sell 6.1/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.08
Estimate
$0.08
Surprise
+4.3%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$1.69B
Score today
6.1/10

Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) reported adjusted EPS of $0.08, in line with the $0.08 estimate.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • UBS Maintains Neutral on Ardagh Metal Packaging, Raises Price Target to $4.75 — benzinga, 2026-10-23
  • UBS Adjusts Ardagh Metal Packaging Price Target to $4.75 — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-23
  • Ardagh Metal Packaging Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-10-22
Current read · as of 2026-10-29

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates AMBP Sell at 6.1/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +4.3% surprise compares with a +40.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-25.

What supports the rating

  • Strong growth profile
  • Positive insider activity

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
  • Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$4.50
Stop
$4.19

The stock trades at 56.3× trailing but 15.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

AMBP at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Packaging & Containers
Market cap
$2.69B
P/E (fwd)
15.6
P/E (ttm)
56.3
52-week range
$3.29–$5.47
Off 52-week high
17.7%
RSI (14)
52
Volume vs avg
0.57×
Score today
6.1/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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