American Airlines Group (AAL) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$0.28
- Estimate
- -$0.36
- Surprise
- +22.6%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $16.34B
- Score today
- 5.7/10
Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).
How the report landed
American Airlines Group (AAL) reported a narrower loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.28 against the -$0.36 estimate (a 22.6% beat on a still-unprofitable quarter).
Coverage in the report window
- American Airlines Flight Returns to Miami Following Disruptive Passenger Incident — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-23
- MMG Offers Supply Guarantee to Secure EU Approval for Anglo American Brazilian Nickel Deal — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-23
- American Airlines CEO Robert Isom Backs Elon Musk’s Starlink When Pressed Over Ukraine, Says Customers Want the Best Pro — benzinga, 2026-10-23
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AAL Sell at 5.7/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +22.6% surprise compares with a +52.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-26.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Counterparty: Citibank N.A.
- Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $12.58
- Price target
- $13.90
- Stop
- $11.70
- Upside to target
- +10.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.1:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AAL at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Airlines
- Market cap
- $8.34B
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.6
- 52-week range
- $10.09–$18.79
- Off 52-week high
- 33.0%
- RSI (14)
- 47
- Volume vs avg
- 1.12×
- Score today
- 5.7/10